Journal: Europe is Reading….

Cultural Intelligence, Government, Law Enforcement
Berto Jongman Recommends...

Suggestions to improve American intelligence: think as a brain

What’s wrong with American intelligence?

In sum, the thinking goes, we need to gather more information, then work harder to connect the dots.

Those impulses are understandable, but they miss the most important problem. From studying many individual cases, and conducting detailed post-mortems of US intelligence failures in the cases of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction and the 1979 Iranian Revolution, I have found that many common assumptions about why our intelligence fails are misguided.

Open Source On the Table

The problems with our intelligence system aren’t primarily problems with information. They are problems with how we think.

Interpol Project White Flow!!!!  convergence of drug trtade and terrorism (Skip Blank Screen Upper Right)

(Associated Press Via Acquire Media NewsEdge) LYON, France_Interpol has seen no proof so far that terror groups like al-Qaida are profiting from big-money ransoms paid out to pirates operating off eastern Africa, the international police group's No. 2 said Tuesday.

Jean-Michel Louboutin spoke to The Associated Press as Interpol opened a closed-door, two-day conference at its Lyon headquarters on tackling the money trail in piracy.

Interpol will create a task force to crack down on maritime piracy “in all its facets,” said Interpol Secretary-General Ronald K. Noble in a statement Tuesday. It did not elaborate.

Journal: Satan Writes Pat Robertson on Haiti

Collective Intelligence

Dear Pat Robertson,

I know that you know that all press is good press, so I appreciate the shout-out. And you make God look like a big mean bully who kicks people when they are down, so I'm all over that action. But when you say that Haiti has made a pact with me, it is totally humiliating. I may be evil incarnate, but I'm no welcher. The way you put it, making a deal with me leaves folks desperate and impoverished.

Sure, in the afterlife, but when I strike bargains with people, they first get something here on earth — glamour, beauty, talent, wealth, fame, glory, a golden fiddle. Those Haitians have nothing, and I mean nothing. And that was before the earthquake. Haven't you seen “Crossroads”? Or “Damn Yankees”?

If I had a thing going with Haiti, there'd be lots of banks, skyscrapers, SUVs, exclusive night clubs, Botox — that kind of thing. An 80 percent poverty rate is so not my style. Nothing against it — I'm just saying: Not how I roll.

You're doing great work, Pat, and I don't want to clip your wings — just, come on, you're making me look bad. And not the good kind of bad. Keep blaming God. That's working. But leave me out of it, please. Or we may need to renegotiate your own contract.

Best from Wall Street,

Satan

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Journal: Guantanamo “Suicides”–Shamed Again

08 Wild Cards, 09 Justice, 09 Terrorism, 10 Security, Collective Intelligence, Cultural Intelligence, Ethics, Government, Methods & Process, Military, Peace Intelligence

Marcus Aurelius

Murder and Cover-Up

The Guantánamo Suicides

By STEPHEN SOLDZ

My friends who served in the military speak of the pride with they performed what  they viewed as their duty. This duty included the obligation to act with honor, including, above all, following the Geneva Conventions when handling detainees and prisoners of war. My friends tell sadly of the despair they felt in seeing this obligation shredded during the Bush administration as word came down that they should do “whatever it takes.”  Some of them resigned in disgust. Others resisted what they viewed as moral decay from within.

A new story by attorney Scott Horton at Harpers reveals yet another very disturbing episode of dishonor. Horton reveals strong credible evidence that three alleged “suicides” at Guantanamo in June 2006 were really homicides. The official story is that during the night of  June 9, 2006, three prisoners were found hanging in their cells in Alpha Block of Guantanamo's Camp 1.

– – – – – –

Stephen Soldz is a psychoanalyst, psychologist, public health researcher, and faculty member at the Boston Graduate School of Psychoanalysis. He edits the Psyche, Science, and Society blog. He is a founder of the Coalition for an Ethical Psychology, one of the organizations working to change American Psychological Association policy on participation in abusive interrogations. He is President-Elect of Psychologists for Social Responsibility [PsySR].

See also:

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Journal: Trust Busting in the 21st Century

03 Economy, 11 Society, Civil Society, Collective Intelligence, Commerce, Commercial Intelligence, Cultural Intelligence, Ethics, Government
Chuck Spinney

Simon Johnson, former chief economist of the IMF, lays out the political case for “Trust Busting” in the 21st Century — it is a political argument that Andrew Jackson and Teddy Roosevelt would have understood and probably approved of.

Chuck

A Trap Of Their Own Design

Simon Johnson    Baseline Scenario    January 19, 2010

At this stage in the electoral cycle, Democrats should be running hard against big banks and their consequences.  Some roots of our current economic difficulties lie in the Clinton 1990s, but the real origins can be traced to the financial deregulation at the heart of the Reagan Revolution – and all the underlying problems became much worse in eight years of George W. Bush’s unique brand of excess and neglect.

The theme for the November midterms should be: Which part of the 8 million jobs lost [since December 2007] do you not understand?  The big banks must be reined in and forced to break themselves up, or we’ll head directly for another such crisis.

Instead, the Democrats have fallen into a legislative and electoral trap that – amazingly – they built for themselves.

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Journal: Selected MILNET Headlines

Analysis, Collaboration Zones, Communities of Practice, Ethics, IO Mapping, Key Players, Policies, Reform, Strategy, Threats

Marcus Aurelius

Recurring Themes:

1)  US Intelligence Community does not actually “know” where Iran is on nuclear, where Yemen is on Al Qaeda, where the Taliban is on Afghanistan….the list is long.

2)   CIA and DoJ ares out of control on assessments and investigations–or they are consistently politicized.  One or the other, which is it?

3)  Terrorism is still the crutch for those unable or unwilling to comprehend Grand Strategy and a more mature appreciation for all of the threats, all of the policies, all of the information, all of the time.  The USA remains government by uninformed sound-bite.

4)  India matters, so we are told, as a recipient of expensive U.S. war-fighting technology and as a partner against terrorism.  Never mind the deeply shared problem of poverty in America and India, a problem quickly addressable by the redirection of a fraction of the Pentagon budget toward “peaceful preventive measures.”

EDITORIAL: Panther politics (Washington Times)

Herewith, then, is an all-inclusive guide to the scandal of the New Black Panther Party voter-intimidation case, based largely on documents unearthed by The Washington Times, along with other original reporting – and why it is important:

FBI broke law for years in phone record searches (Washington Post)

The FBI illegally collected more than 2,000 U.S. telephone call records between 2002 and 2006 by invoking terrorism emergencies that did not exist or simply persuading phone companies to provide records, according to internal bureau memos and interviews. FBI officials issued approvals after the fact to justify their actions.

Terrorists will strike America again (Greg Treverton in Los Angeles Times)

The Christmas Day episode highlights three critical points.   First is how much progress U.S. intelligence has made.    . . .  Second, the Christmas Day plot demonstrates that much of what passes for security is a waste of time and money.   . . .  Third, the public furor over the foiled plot shows that more perspective on terrorism is essential.

Review Says Iran Never Halted Nuke Work In 2003 (Washington Times)

Rep. Peter Hoekstra, Michigan Republican and ranking member of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, said in an interview that “they wrote a political document in 2007 to embarrass President Bush which everyone uniformly agrees was a piece of trash.”

The al Qaeda statement couldn't be independently verified.

Forward, Together (Robert Gates in Times of India
That said, there are still more opportunities for closer cooperation that will allow us to share technology and increase the flow of information and expertise.    . . .   Perhaps the greatest common challenge India and the United States face is terrorism.

NIGHTWATCH on Afghanistan (John McCreary)

NIGHTWATCH Afghanistan: Multiple news services reported today’s bold Afghan Taliban attacks in Kabul. The coordinated multiple attacks killed at least 15 and injured 62, as reported in this Watch

Four militants also were killed, including two suicide bombers who detonated their explosives, and Afghan forces were searching several other areas in the city for more attackers, a government spokesman said.

It was the biggest attack in the capital since 28 October when gunmen with automatic weapons and suicide vests stormed a guest house used by U.N. staff, killing at least 11 people including three U.N. staff.

The attack coincided with the investiture of those Cabinet members in the Karzai government who had been confirmed by the Parliament. A majority of his choices have been rejected twice.

Below the Fold Complete NIGHTWATCH on Afghanistan

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Reference: Reverse TPFID for Haiti

Communities of Practice, Peace Intelligence

TPFID (Time-Phased Force and Deployment Data)

Reverse TPFID Sequence of Events:

CAB 21 Sequence of Events as Previously Provided

Embrace the Cubans as full partners

Multinational Decision Support Center (MDSC) in Tampa or Quantico

Grid the Island, Assign Zone Masters with Commercial Satellite Communications to Each Grid Square

Execute Bottom-Up Needs-Driven Information-Driven Relief Effort as well as Med-Evac Priority

Emphasize AIR DROPS not WHEELS, and C-13os using See Bee rough strips created overnight

Assume all local water contaminated by bodies and sewage until demonstrated otherwise

Hospital Ship Should Have Been Turned Around Instantly, Refueled and Resupplied at Sea

Send at least one and ideally two Amphibious Ships will full complements of helos augmented as they pass Camp Lejeune coming down from Little Creek–ideally plan to use Landing Craft not just the helos

Pre-Approved Emergency Flights ONLY into Port a Prince and Santo Domingo (including See Bees and their construction equipment, Army engineers and bridges

Create at least two Foreward Area Refueling Points (FARP), one for conventional aircraft, one for helicopters, and add a third for free fuel for all ground vehicles including indigenous and NGO vehicles

Triage all relief aircraft via MDSC, ideally triage the loads BEFORE they are loaded–push the information perimeter all the way out to every government and NGO planning to arrive, run BIG AIR into McDill, Guantanamo, Havana, Bermuda, Miami, triage loads into C-130, Air Drop, and Helo Delivery.  Remember that onward transport is the next log-jam, see USMC Lessons Learned from Bangladesh–precision drops across the country are better than jamming everything into an airport without onward delivery options.

Re-Visit the 450-Ship Navy proposed in 1998 and again in 2008

Why is it we are not seeing Army Civil Affairs Brigade in charge of this?  Frock the ranking Colonel to one-star (pull him out of AF for this), put the Total Force behind CAB, and tell the existing conventional leadership they are in direct support of CAB.

Haiti is an Epoch B information challenge that cannot be addressed properly by Epoch A “materials” leadership.

See also:  Journal: Haiti Rolling Update