RUSSIA: Suicide Bomber, Intel Not Shared

Advanced Cyber/IO, Cultural Intelligence, Law Enforcement, Peace Intelligence

Russia: At least 35 people were killed by the suicide bomb at Domodedovo airport. Airport representative Elena Galanova issued an official statement in which she said the blast struck the international arrivals hall in the common area, to which citizens who are not passengers have access. Consequently, the explosion occurred outside the baggage claim area, close to people who may not have been passengers.

Ria Novosti reported that Russian security services had received warning of a possible terrorist attack on Moscow's Domodedovo airport, a law enforcement source said, but airport authorities denied receiving any warning.

Comment: Multiple news services reported that the head of the bomber was found intact. That is always the signature of an explosive vest worn by the suicide bomber. Pakistani media have made that observation repeatedly. They always find the head.

The features of the head were described as resembling an “Arab,” which could also match the features of a Chechen or a Caucasian.

One point that is clear is that Russian airport security is so poor that it failed to detect a person wearing an explosives vest. If the Ria Novosti report proves accurate, the failure to communicate threat information to airport authorities — who had the ability to make low cost quick security upgrades, but were not given the opportunity– makes Russian intelligence cooperation comparable to that of the US in 2001.

Phi Beta Iota: This is yet another early warning.  The solution to suicide terrorists “dying to win” (as well as WikiLeaks) is very straight-forward: legitimacy.  Absent legitimacy, violence will grow, with 2012 expected to be a turning point year.  There are not enough weapons (or counterintelligence and security professionals with brains) to keep the masses down.  The meek will inherit the Earth, but first the less meek will wreak havoc.

Clear-Hold-Build–VN Deja Vu “Destroy to Save”

07 Other Atrocities, 08 Wild Cards, 10 Security, 11 Society, Advanced Cyber/IO, Government, Military, Officers Call
Chuck Spinney Sounds Off....

The Clear-Hold-Build (C-H-B) strategy was first enunciated enthusiastically during the Bush Administration as the new counterinsurgency strategy to win the hearts and minds of the Afghan people.  Actually, this strategy was merely an unimaginative regurgitation of Marshall Lautey's “tache d'huile” (oil spot) strategy used to quell native uprisings during France colonial wars at the end of the 19th Century and the first decade of the 20th Century.

The recent escalation in Afghanistan may be taking the unimaginative C-H-B soundbyte to the extremities of its logical absurdity, if the attached report by Spencer Ackerman is correct: Apparently, our forces applied the C-H-B strategy literally to a small Afghan village in Kandahar's Arghandab River Valley of Taliban by using 25 tons of air delivered explosives to CLEAR it off the map (see photo).  Ackerman goes to suggest HOLDING will be accomplished because we will spend one million dollars to (re) BUILD it.  As part of our cultural sensitivity strategy to HOLD onto the Afghan's hearts and minds during the BUILD leg of the strategy, our troops are holding “construction shuras” with the villagers to compensate them for their loses.

Think of the C-H-B strategy as the Petraeus equivalent of destroying a village to save it — sound familiar?

Chuck Spinney

Archive of selected Blasters

25 Tons of Bombs Wipe Afghan Town off Map

by Spencer Ackerman, Wired, 19 January

An American-led military unit pulverized an Afghan village in Kandahar's Arghandab River Valley in October, after it became overrun with Taliban insurgents. It's hard to understand how turning an entire village into dust fits into America's counterinsurgency strategy – which supposedly prizes the local people's loyalty above all else.

An American-led military unit pulverized an Afghan village in Kandahar's Arghandab River Valley in October, after it became overrun with Taliban insurgents. It's hard to understand how turning an entire village into dust fits into America's counterinsurgency strategy – which supposedly prizes the local people's loyalty above all else.

tarok-kolache.png

But it's the latest indication that Gen. David Petraeus, the counterinsurgency icon, is prosecuting a frustrating war with surprising levels of violence. Some observers already fear a backlash brewing in the area.

Paula Broadwell, a West Point graduate and Petraeus biographer, described the destruction of Tarok Kolache in a guest post for Tom Ricks' Foreign Policy blog. Or, at least, she described its aftermath: Nothing remains of Tarok Kolache after Lt. Col. David Flynn, commander of Combined Joint Task Force 1-320th, made a fateful decision in October.

Continue reading “Clear-Hold-Build–VN Deja Vu “Destroy to Save””

Reference: Intelligence for the Spirit of Assisi

Advanced Cyber/IO, Budgets & Funding, Collective Intelligence, Collective Intelligence, Commercial Intelligence, Communities of Practice, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, Earth Intelligence, Ethics, Geospatial, Gift Intelligence, History, info-graphics/data-visualization, InfoOps (IO), International Aid, Journalism/Free-Press/Censorship, Key Players, Memoranda, Methods & Process, Mobile, Open Government, Peace Intelligence, Policies, Policy, Politics of Science & Science of Politics, Power Behind-the-Scenes/Special Interests, Real Time, Reform, Research resources, Secrecy & Politics of Secrecy, Standards, Strategy, Technologies, Threats, Tools, True Cost, Waste (materials, food, etc)
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Letter to His Holiness Pope Benedict XVI

Steele Book Profile

Resume Robert David STEELE Vivas M4IS2

See Also:

28 Jan Seven Answers–Robert Steele in Rome

27 Jan Assisi-Rome 2nd Meeting

27 Jan Reference: Correspondence on Assisi Intelligence

16 Jan Event: 26 Oct 2011 Assisi Italy Pope, Peace, & Prayer — 5th Inter-Faith Event Since 1986 — Terms of Reference…

Worth a Look: Book Review Lists (Positive)

Worth a Look: Book Review Lists (Negative)

NIGHTWATCH Extract: Egypt Dictator-Domino Falling?

07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Advanced Cyber/IO, Civil Society, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Peace Intelligence

Egypt: A spokesman for Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood announced that the group is making five urgent demands which the Egyptian government should comply with in order to avert several crises, according to a 19 January posting on the Muslim Brotherhood website.

Muhammad Mursi said the group wants Cairo to revoke the state of emergency, dissolve the People's Assembly and hold free and fair elections, amend the constitutional articles that led to vote rigging in Egypt's last elections, hold presidential elections according to those amendments, and fire the current government and form a national unity government responsive to the Egyptian people's demands.

Comment: The Brothers are belatedly trying to take advantage of the Tunisian uprising. Mubarak could die at any time, but as long as he possesses his faculties he will not fall for lies by his personal security chief, as did Tunisia's Ben Ali, and will not be intimidated by the Brotherhood.

NIGHTWATCH KGS Home

Phi Beta Iota: Dictators will fall before faux democracies because they are on the thinnest ice in the face of angry connected young people with legitimate grievances.  The PowerShift that Alvin and Heidi Toffler anticipated in the 19990's has begun to occur.  The other threat to civilization can be found in fundamentalists and relativists–those who treat faith as a cult or faith as a convenience.  It is a mistake to regard the Muslim Brotherhood as threatening–they are more of an indications & warning.  When  the right precipitant comes along, Egypt will fall, and the other 43 dictators will follow in relatively quick (ten years) time.  Now is when US covert action could shine, but first the White House and Congress and the military-industrial complex must be weaned of their love of dictators.  This is also a time when holistic all-source analysis could shine, helping guide a 180 degree turn away from dictators and toward democracy in time for the 2012 “Awakening.”

See Also:

Continue reading “NIGHTWATCH Extract: Egypt Dictator-Domino Falling?”

COUNTER-PROOFS: Global Warming Flood & Fraud

03 Environmental Degradation, Academia, Advanced Cyber/IO, Commerce, Corruption, Earth Intelligence, Government
Chuck Spinney Recommends....

The flooding in Australia is almost certainly related to the latest ongoing La Nina episode.

What was the role of warmists in the Queensland flood disaster?

Australia was told to prepare for droughts as a result of climate change, and let down its guard against flooding, writes Christopher Booker

Full article….

See Also:

The ‘anomalies’ of Dr Rajendra Pachauri’s charity accounts

Why did the Charities Commission let the European wing of Rajendra Pachauri's empire get away with such poor accounting, asks Christopher Booker.

Full article…

Journal: UN IPCC, Al Gore, & Big Doubts [Links]

2012: Predictions & Possibilities

Advanced Cyber/IO, Cultural Intelligence, Earth Intelligence

Phi Beta Iota: The October 2011 Peace Summit being hosted by Pope BenedictXVI is a useful touchstone for reviewing the many predictions and possibilities that have been forecast with astonishing precision and documentation down through the ages.  There are two divergent interpretations; Phi Beta Iota accepts the second.

1.  End of Humanity–apocalypse, nuclear wars, plagues, red tides killing all sea life, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.  extraterrestrials optional.

2.  Wake-Up Call for Humanity–a convergence of exposed evils and the emergence of a much greater collective compassion and collective intelligence than most have imagined–from this, a “great turning.”

Here is one web site that presents a full range of predictions & possibilities:  2012 Predictions, and below, its active index:

New AgeMayaAstronomy and spaceAstrologyEnvironmentMedia, science and technologyHealthPolitics, social and economicsReligionOther 2012 directoriesDocumentaries and filmsArticlesEvents…Precognitions and dreamsSpoofs and Satires

See Also:

Worth a Look: Book Review Lists (Positive)

Event: 26 Oct 2011 Assisi Italy Pope, Peace, & Prayer — 5th Inter-Faith Event Since 1986 — Terms of Reference…

noble gold