When reform becomes impossible, revolution becomes inevitable.
Phi Beta Iota: This guy is amazing. Visit his website.
Preconditions of Revolution in the USA Today
Gerald Celente: Forecasted Panic in Dec 2007; EIN PDB forecasted crash in Oct 2007
Review: Business War Games–How Large, Small, and New Companies Can Vastly Improve Their Strategies and Outmaneuver the Competition
5 Star, Budget Process & Politics, Change & Innovation, Decision-Making & Decision-Support, Force Structure (Military), Future, Games, Models, & Simulations, Information Society, Intelligence (Government/Secret), Intelligence (Public), Leadership, Public Administration, Strategy
Ben Gilad
Core Reference Introducing Hindsight Games
January 11, 2011
Not a single one of the other reviews mentions “hindsight games” which come at the end in Chapter 12, where Ben Gilad, whom I know and admire, properly lists Helen Ho and Matthew J. Morgan as the authors.
At the age of 58 with 30+ years as an intelligence professional behind me, very little catches me by surprise but this is one of those exquisite “ahas.” For me, the insights into hindsight games as a means to retrospectively identify strategic, operational, tactical, and technical junctures, where participants can reflect on what they knew, what they did not know, what they had wish they had known, and how they might advise the next generation to state its intelligence requirements differently–for me this is an intellectual gold strike.
I have never heard of any of the war colleges or strategy centers or major corporations or NGOs doing hindsight games. This for me is HUGE, and Ben Gilad's integrity is high-density–although the plan of the book properly puts the chapter at the end, after his concepts and doctrine and methods for business war games are outlined, this is the chapter that every one of the eight tribes (academic, civil society, commercial, government, law enforcement, media, military, non-profit or non-governmental) should be thinking about.
Hindsight games are a perfect means of both debriefing out-going executives and mission area specialists, and of transferring lessons learned from one generation to another in a super-professional manner.
I am reminded of Kristan Wheaton's still relevant book, The Warning Solution : Intelligent Analysis in the Age of Information Overload, and believe that would make an excellent HindSight Game pre-read, pulling in seniors and mission area specialists to talk about what proper warning and better intelligence might have allowed them to do these past twenty years.
Weak Signals: DoD Information Operations First Steps
Advanced Cyber/IO, InfoOps (IO), Intelligence (government), Methods & ProcessNavy Intel Chief: Information Dominance Must Balance Firepower
By Karen Parrish, American Forces Press Service, 6 January 2011
WASHINGTON (NNS) — “Information as warfare” requires operational commanders to employ intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance to dominate the information realm even as they direct combat actions, the Navy's senior intelligence officer said Jan. 5.
Vice Adm. David J. “Jack” Dorsett, the director of naval intelligence and deputy chief of naval operations for information dominance, spoke to defense writers about what he called a shift from an Industrial Age military force to an Information Age force.
“We're great at strike warfare – dropping bombs,” Dorsett said. “It's now time for the Navy, and frankly the U.S. joint forces, to step up and start dealing with information in a much more sophisticated manner than they have in the past.”
Adm. Gary Roughead, chief of naval operations, announced in October 2009 the Navy was combining its intelligence directorate, communications networks and related information technology capabilities into the information dominance organization.
Phi Beta Iota: Ms. Karen Parrish has done a superb job with this interview, which is rich in candid detail. What it makes clear is that Navy (as well as the Army) are making major changes in concepts & doctrine toward integration intelligence, communications, and information technology and as this article documents even starting to think about processing, dissemination, and exploitation. Both appear to be focused on machine collection and machine processing and not yet appreciative of Human Intelligence (HUMINT) across the fifteen slices and eight tribes as well as multinationally (M4IS2).
Rest of article also below line–it's worth saving.
Continue reading “Weak Signals: DoD Information Operations First Steps”
Votetocracy (vote on bills)
04 Education, 11 Society, Budgets & Funding, Civil Society, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Government, Open Government, Reform, Technologies, Tools
Votetocracy is a place where every citizen can see every bill currently in congress, vote on those bills and send those votes to thier representatives. The site has been created by three regular citizens that felt it was time to get engaged with American politics. During our efforts to become more educated about our government we discovered that it was not all that easy. We found plenty of information. But it is written in difficult to understand political speak. We also found that it was not particularly easy to act on this information. When we found bills on government websites we had no measurable way to act on it. Sure, you could write a letter or contact our representatives, but had no real way of knowing that it would actually accomplish anything. These things felt like barriers. It was then that we dicided that there had to be a better way and Votetocracy is the the result of our efforts.
The site has the features neccesary for any citizen to find out what congress is working on. More importantly however is the ability to act on that information. We have created the site so that citizens can vote on the same bills as congress, send their vote to thier representatives with the click of the button.
We felt that there are three major areas that we could help citizens.
- Access to information
- Education about that information
- And to provide the ability to act on that information and measure the results
Related:
+ Public Markup
+ Whitehouse 2 (ended Dec. 2010)
+ Open Congress
+ Open Secrets
+ Sunlight Foundation
+ Sunlight Labs
FuturICT Living Earth Simulator; EarthGame / Whole Earth Strategic Analytic Model
04 Education, Augmented Reality, Budgets & Funding, Civil Society, Collective Intelligence, Collective Intelligence, Commercial Intelligence, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, Earth Intelligence, Geospatial, Gift Intelligence, History, info-graphics/data-visualization, Journalism/Free-Press/Censorship, Open Government, Peace Intelligence, Reform, Technologies, Tools, True Cost
Today, we know more about the universe than about our society. It's time to use the power of information to explore social and economic life on Earth and discover options for a sustainable future. Together, we can manage the challenges of the 21st century, combining the best of all knowledge.
The FuturICT Knowledge Accelerator is a previously unseen multidisciplinary international scientific endeavour with focus on techno-socio-economic-environmental systems. The three main achievements of the FuturICT flagship will be the establishment of
- a Living Earth Simulator (global-scale simulation of techno-socio-economic systems),
- Crisis Observatories (for financial instabilities, scarcity of resources, emerging risks and conflicts, epidemics, etc.), and
- an Innovation Accelerator (identifying innovations early on, evaluating them across disciplines and supporting co-creation projects between different scientific disciplines, business, and governance).
Comment: This is not a new idea but has expanded to a great extent. The 2004/2005 proposal “Re-configuring the Global Organisms' Operating System Through Mobile Democracy” mentions a whole earth simulation of knowledge layers + mobile connectivity to access & add to systems so that more people are involved in the shaping of our world. The Earth Intelligence Network in connection with Medard Gabel has been advocating an EarthGame + a strategic analytic model to jump-start a prosperous world @peace.
Below was posted at the Games for Change forum on the subject:
Continue reading “FuturICT Living Earth Simulator; EarthGame / Whole Earth Strategic Analytic Model”
Journal: Strategies & Technologies Russian Analyst on Chinese Stealth “Demonstrator”
02 China, 04 Inter-State Conflict, 06 Russia, 10 Security, Analysis, Intelligence (government), Military, Peace Intelligence, Technologies, YouTubeChina jet upstages US defence chief visit
Sydney Morning Herald
VIDEO: Stealth Race: China test flies Chengdu J-20 ‘Black Eagle'
Key point: It's a demonstrator, not a production model. China is years from getting to production model.
VISIT: Centre for Analysis of Strategies & Technologies (CAST)
Minor league open source on plasma stealth:
Secret revealed: China’s 4th-generation fighter plane will use the plasma stealth technology
Mo, J. J., S. B. Liu, and N. C. Yuan, “Study on basic theory for plasma stealth,” Modern Radar, Vol. 22, No. 3, 9–12, 2002 (in. Chinese)
Gerald Celente: Forecasted Panic in Dec 2007; EIN PDB forecasted crash in Oct 2007
03 Economy, Corruption, Misinformation & Propaganda, Money, Banks & Concentrated Wealth, Power Behind-the-Scenes/Special Interests, Videos/Movies/DocumentariesComment: In October 2007, Earth Intelligence Network's Public Daily Brief (PDB) stated “Economy: Nothing significant, US continues to be bankrupt. Real estate crash in January 2009.” See it for yourself (pdf)
